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No
balthazar<$100NoYesNoYes
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 30?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 100%
Total Value
$120
Combined PnL
$4.15
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$120
Total Shares120
Combined PnL+$4.15
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Noavg 96.5¢ | $115.85 | $120 | +$4.15 | 59% 1743-1208 (2951) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 98.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20981-13343 (34324) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1774-1756 (3530) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 96.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13602-10422 (24024) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4404-9461 (13865) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 526-2359 (2885) |
24
241532532432Invested
$115.85
Value
$120
PnL
+$4.15
Record
59%
1743-1208 (2951)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20981-13343 (34324)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1774-1756 (3530)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13602-10422 (24024)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4404-9461 (13865)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
526-2359 (2885)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbe6ad7d1...c5e824
Slug
highest-temperature-in-busan-on-october-30-2026-23c