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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 30?

Resolved Yes. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Yes 100%

Total Value

$17.37

Combined PnL

$8

Smart Money Signal

Yes

7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes7 traders

Total Value$17.37

Total Shares17

Combined PnL+$8

No3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares0

Combined PnL+$0

Yes — 70%No — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
24 241532532432<$100	Yesavg 48.3¢	$9.37	$17.37	+$8	59% 1743-1208 (2951)
balthazarCTR<$100	Noavg 49.9¢	—	—	+$0	61% 20981-13343 (34324)
HE hello.67<$100	Yesavg 51.7¢	—	—	+$0	50% 1774-1756 (3530)
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100	Yesavg 59.8¢	—	—	+$0	53% 6481-5684 (12165)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Noavg 34.6¢	—	—	+$0	57% 13602-10422 (24024)
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100	Yesavg 68¢	—	—	+$0	32% 4404-9461 (13865)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100	Noavg 3¢	—	—	+$0	18% 526-2359 (2885)
HE HellYeahTrader<$100	Yesavg 50¢	—	—	+$0	56% 372-296 (668)
Istaroth<$100	Yesavg 39¢	—	—	+$0	21% 300-1144 (1444)
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98<$100	Yesavg 52.2¢	—	—	+$0	47% 647-728 (1375)

241532532432<$100

Invested

$9.37

Value

$17.37

PnL

+$8

Record

59%

1743-1208 (2951)

balthazarCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

61%

20981-13343 (34324)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

1774-1756 (3530)

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

6481-5684 (12165)

ghorrockCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

13602-10422 (24024)

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

32%

4404-9461 (13865)

LornaPredictsCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

18%

526-2359 (2885)

HellYeahTrader<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

372-296 (668)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

21%

300-1144 (1444)

0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

47%

647-728 (1375)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xf885571c...14409e

Slug

highest-temperature-in-busan-on-october-30-2026-21c

Traders in this Market

241532532432

Yes — $17.37

balthazar

No — $0

hello.67

Yes — $0

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed

Yes — $0

ghorrock

No — $0

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

Yes — $0

LornaPredicts

No — $0

HellYeahTrader

Yes — $0

Istaroth

Yes — $0

0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98

Yes — $0

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