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YesNoNoNoYes
IstarothCTR<$100NoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 29?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$393.72
Combined PnL
$189.96
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 6 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$365.01
Total Shares365
Combined PnL+$189.96
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 50%No — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Yesavg 44¢ | $175.05 | $365.01 | +$189.96 | 59% 1714-1182 (2896) |
RO rocky42019ARB<$100 | Noavg 57.1¢ | $53.93 | $28.7 | -$25.22 | 42% 1708-2332 (4040) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 41¢ | $11.77 | $28.7 | +$15.6 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 57.1¢ | $20.6 | — | -$40.82 | |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Noavg 70¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1744-1729 (3473) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Noavg 54.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6458-5657 (12115) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100 | Yesavg 9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4389-9438 (13827) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Noavg 62.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 21% 295-1083 (1378) |
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98<$100 | Yesavg 29.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 47% 627-714 (1341) |
24
241532532432Invested
$175.05
Value
$365.01
PnL
+$189.96
Record
59%
1714-1182 (2896)
RO
rocky42019ARB<$100Invested
$53.93
Value
$28.7
PnL
-$25.22
Record
42%
1708-2332 (4040)
Both legs:
Yes$11.7741¢+$15.6
No$20.657.1¢-$40.82
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1744-1729 (3473)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6458-5657 (12115)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4389-9438 (13827)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
21%
295-1083 (1378)
0X
0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
627-714 (1341)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x34ef5ab2...7c2859
Slug
highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-october-29-2026-25c