Back to Markets
NoYesNoNoNoNo
Istaroth<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 29?
Resolved No. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 50%
Total Value
$340.72
Combined PnL
$33.31
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No6 traders
Total Value$340.72
Total Shares341
Combined PnL+$48.05
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares70
Combined PnL-$14.74
No — 86%Yes — 14%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Noavg 92.8¢ | $316.35 | $340.72 | +$48.05 | 59% 1714-1182 (2896) |
RO rocky42019CTR<$100 | Yesavg 15.4¢ | $14.74 | — | -$14.74 | 42% 1708-2332 (4040) |
HE hello.67<$100 | Noavg 78¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1744-1729 (3473) |
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98<$100 | Noavg 77.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 47% 627-714 (1341) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 95¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6458-5657 (12115) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 93.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13427-10262 (23689) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 82¢ | — | — | +$0 | 21% 295-1083 (1378) |
24
241532532432Invested
$316.35
Value
$340.72
PnL
+$48.05
Record
59%
1714-1182 (2896)
RO
rocky42019CTR<$100Invested
$14.74
Value
—
PnL
-$14.74
Record
42%
1708-2332 (4040)
HE
hello.67<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1744-1729 (3473)
0X
0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
627-714 (1341)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6458-5657 (12115)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13427-10262 (23689)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
21%
295-1083 (1378)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xcc3b1f6f...f293ec
Slug
highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-october-29-2026-23c