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NoYes
LucerysCTR<$100YesNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C or below on November 7?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$100
Combined PnL
-$3.2
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$100
Total Shares100
Combined PnL+$0.1
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares36
Combined PnL-$3.3
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1D 1DVSBSTD | Noavg 99.9¢ | $99.9 | $100 | +$0.1 | 97% 522-14 (536) |
GR graynotebook19CTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | -$3.3 | 60% 18915-12738 (31653) |
LucerysCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0¢ | — | — | +$0 | 45% 18006-22281 (40287) |
QW qwen300.fund<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 43869-46551 (90420) |
HA haveagooddayCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 46% 3898-4513 (8411) |
1D
1DVSBSTDInvested
$99.9
Value
$100
PnL
+$0.1
Record
97%
522-14 (536)
GR
graynotebook19CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
-$3.3
Record
60%
18915-12738 (31653)
LucerysCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
45%
18006-22281 (40287)
QW
qwen300.fund<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
43869-46551 (90420)
HA
haveagooddayCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
3898-4513 (8411)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x681add77...f75551
Slug
highest-temperature-in-buenos-aires-on-november-7-2026-13corbelow