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No
balthazarCTR<$100YesYesYesYes
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C or higher on October 30?
Resolved No. 17% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 100%
Total Value
$14.33
Combined PnL
$0.39
Smart Money Signal
No
1 of 6 top traders (17%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$14.33
Total Shares14
Combined PnL+$0.39
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 17%Yes — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432<$100 | Noavg 97.3¢ | $13.94 | $14.33 | +$0.39 | 59% 1743-1208 (2951) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20984-13348 (34332) |
VA Vale54holiCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 29% 181-444 (625) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Yesavg 4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1774-1756 (3530) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13603-10423 (24026) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 527-2364 (2891) |
24
241532532432<$100Invested
$13.94
Value
$14.33
PnL
+$0.39
Record
59%
1743-1208 (2951)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20984-13348 (34332)
VA
Vale54holiCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
29%
181-444 (625)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1774-1756 (3530)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13603-10423 (24026)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
527-2364 (2891)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x02cadbc0...cc3632
Slug
highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-october-30-2026-24corhigher