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No
balthazar<$100NoYesYes
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 30?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$288.61
Combined PnL
$7.21
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$288.61
Total Shares289
Combined PnL+$7.21
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Noavg 97.5¢ | $281.4 | $288.61 | +$7.21 | 59% 1743-1208 (2951) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20984-13348 (34332) |
VA Vale54holiCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 29% 181-444 (625) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13603-10423 (24026) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 527-2364 (2891) |
24
241532532432Invested
$281.4
Value
$288.61
PnL
+$7.21
Record
59%
1743-1208 (2951)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20984-13348 (34332)
VA
Vale54holiCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
29%
181-444 (625)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13603-10423 (24026)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
527-2364 (2891)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x67f94e31...6221b2
Slug
highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-october-30-2026-19c