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No
balthazar<$100NoYesNoNo
IstarothCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 27?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 100%
Total Value
$535.43
Combined PnL
$17.58
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$535.43
Total Shares535
Combined PnL+$17.58
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 67%Yes — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Noavg 96.8¢ | $240.05 | $535.43 | +$17.58 | 61% 1529-967 (2496) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 97.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20522-12983 (33505) |
BE berlinskiesCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 5719-4199 (9918) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 91.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6235-5472 (11707) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 94.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 12909-9833 (22742) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 32% 273-593 (866) |
24
241532532432Invested
$240.05
Value
$535.43
PnL
+$17.58
Record
61%
1529-967 (2496)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20522-12983 (33505)
BE
berlinskiesCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
5719-4199 (9918)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6235-5472 (11707)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
12909-9833 (22742)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
273-593 (866)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x03bae3ba...5c19db
Slug
highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-october-27-2026-14c