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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 17?
Resolved Yes. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
No 64%
Total Value
$137.47
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
7 of 11 top traders (64%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbda66c3a...8f89d2
Slug
highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-october-17-2026-18c