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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 5°C or below on November 9?

Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

No 33%

Total Value

$200.39

Combined PnL

-$3.56

Smart Money Signal

No

6 of 12 top traders (50%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No6 traders
Total Value$200.39
Total Shares200
Combined PnL+$0.2
Yes6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares41
Combined PnL-$3.77
No — 50%Yes — 50%
1D
1DVSBSTD
No

Invested

$199.8

Value

$200

PnL

+$0.2

Record

97%

59786-1869 (61655)

0X
0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493<$100
No

Invested

$0.39

Value

$0.39

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

9346-9412 (18758)

0X
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$1.42

Value

—

PnL

-$2.11

Record

22%

657-2370 (3027)

QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0

Value

—

PnL

-$1.66

Record

47%

47657-54243 (101900)

balthazarCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

30%

35523-84044 (119567)

LucerysCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

18729-24498 (43227)

0X
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

30%

2897-6613 (9510)

AN
anothercoinCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

35%

1183-2186 (3369)

0X
0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

5588-7271 (12859)

0X
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

69%

16770-7378 (24148)

12
123987456CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

30%

2958-6851 (9809)

0X
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6652-7812 (14464)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x106afd99...bfce70
Slug
highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-november-9-2026-5corbelow

Traders in this Market

1D

1DVSBSTD

No — $200

+$0.2
0X

0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493

No — $0.39

+$0
0X

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179

CTR

Yes — $0

-$2.11
QW

qwen300.fund

CTR

Yes — $0

-$1.66

balthazar

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0

Lucerys

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
0X

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225

No — $0

+$0
AN

anothercoin

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
0X

0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579

No — $0

+$0
0X

0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023

No — $0

+$0
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