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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 7°C or below on November 15?
Resolved No. 85.71428571428571% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Yes 85.71428571428571%
Total Value
$105.45
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
8 of 9 top traders (85.71428571428571%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x00fa0f44...c8db46
Slug
highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-november-15-2026-7corbelow