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NoYes
balthazar<$100NoYesNoNoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on November 1?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 50%
Total Value
$50.63
Combined PnL
-$32.09
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$50.63
Total Shares51
Combined PnL+$2.75
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares340
Combined PnL-$34.84
No — 71%Yes — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 94.6¢ | $47.88 | $50.63 | +$2.75 | 56% 14240-11046 (25286) |
24 241532532432CTR<$100 | Yesavg 10.2¢ | $34.84 | — | -$34.84 | 59% 1921-1351 (3272) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 92.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 21345-13642 (34987) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Yesavg 10¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1908-1873 (3781) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 94.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6690-5888 (12578) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100 | Noavg 99.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4495-9638 (14133) |
HE HellYeahTrader<$100 | Noavg 96¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 467-391 (858) |
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
$47.88
Value
$50.63
PnL
+$2.75
Record
56%
14240-11046 (25286)
24
241532532432CTR<$100Invested
$34.84
Value
—
PnL
-$34.84
Record
59%
1921-1351 (3272)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21345-13642 (34987)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1908-1873 (3781)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6690-5888 (12578)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4495-9638 (14133)
HE
HellYeahTrader<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
467-391 (858)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x887c6032...a8317b
Slug
highest-temperature-in-beijing-on-november-1-2026-20c