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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 82°F or higher on November 6?
Resolved No. 85% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
13
Yes 85%
Total Value
$50
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
11 of 13 top traders (85%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x515c5c8e...bf54b7
Slug
highest-temperature-in-austin-on-november-6-2026-82forhigher