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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 5?
Resolved No. 23% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
22
Yes 23%
Total Value
$115.9
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 22 top traders (23%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x669f807b...0f021a
Slug
highest-temperature-in-austin-on-november-5-2026-84-85f