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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on November 4?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
25
Yes 40%
Total Value
$177.14
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
10 of 25 top traders (40%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb696b42a...a7cdf0
Slug
highest-temperature-in-austin-on-november-4-2026-76-77f