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YesYes
IstarothCTR<$100Yes
balthazar<$100NoNoYesNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 30?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$389.34
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares446
Combined PnL-$389.34
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 50%No — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HE HellYeahTraderCTR | Yesavg 61¢ | $175.17 | — | -$255.47 | 55% 410-333 (743) |
24 241532532432CTR<$100 | Yesavg 58.1¢ | $79.64 | — | -$79.64 | 59% 1805-1255 (3060) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 54.7¢ | $58.31 | — | -$54.24 | 20% 312-1273 (1585) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 46.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 21091-13428 (34519) |
HE hello.67<$100 | Noavg 46.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1825-1804 (3629) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 51¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6540-5754 (12294) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13766-10533 (24299) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100 | Noavg 61¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4436-9523 (13959) |
HE
HellYeahTraderCTRInvested
$175.17
Value
—
PnL
-$255.47
Record
55%
410-333 (743)
24
241532532432CTR<$100Invested
$79.64
Value
—
PnL
-$79.64
Record
59%
1805-1255 (3060)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
$58.31
Value
—
PnL
-$54.24
Record
20%
312-1273 (1585)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21091-13428 (34519)
HE
hello.67<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1825-1804 (3629)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6540-5754 (12294)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13766-10533 (24299)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4436-9523 (13959)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdb883943...b86e7c
Slug
highest-temperature-in-atlanta-on-october-30-2026-78-79f