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Yes
balthazar<$100NoNoNoNo
Istaroth<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 30?
Resolved No. 17% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$28.65
Smart Money Signal
Yes
1 of 6 top traders (17%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares280
Combined PnL-$28.65
No5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 17%No — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432CTR<$100 | Yesavg 8.1¢ | $25.05 | — | -$28.65 | 59% 1805-1255 (3060) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 66.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 21091-13428 (34519) |
HE hello.67<$100 | Noavg 71¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1825-1804 (3629) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 69.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6540-5754 (12294) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 91¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13766-10533 (24299) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 70¢ | — | — | +$0 | 20% 312-1273 (1585) |
24
241532532432CTR<$100Invested
$25.05
Value
—
PnL
-$28.65
Record
59%
1805-1255 (3060)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21091-13428 (34519)
HE
hello.67<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1825-1804 (3629)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6540-5754 (12294)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13766-10533 (24299)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
20%
312-1273 (1585)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xac4cb8ac...7044e3
Slug
highest-temperature-in-atlanta-on-october-30-2026-76-77f