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YesYesYesYesYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 61°F or below on November 11?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$47.9
Smart Money Signal
Yes
6 of 6 top traders (100%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares540
Combined PnL-$47.9
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $26.32 | — | -$26.32 | 65% 2122-1162 (3284) |
0X 0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $17.55 | — | -$17.55 | 42% 806-1105 (1911) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $2.98 | — | -$2.98 | 36% 506-908 (1414) |
GR graynotebook19CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.1¢ | $0.01 | — | -$0.01 | 26% 866-2503 (3369) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 30% 2929-6854 (9783) |
MI mildwindow27CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $1.23 | — | +$0 | 29% 888-2164 (3052) |
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
$26.32
Value
—
PnL
-$26.32
Record
65%
2122-1162 (3284)
0X
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225CTR<$100Invested
$17.55
Value
—
PnL
-$17.55
Record
42%
806-1105 (1911)
LU
luciebotCTR<$100Invested
$2.98
Value
—
PnL
-$2.98
Record
36%
506-908 (1414)
GR
graynotebook19CTR<$100Invested
$0.01
Value
—
PnL
-$0.01
Record
26%
866-2503 (3369)
QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
30%
2929-6854 (9783)
MI
mildwindow27CTR<$100Invested
$1.23
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
29%
888-2164 (3052)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3fe810f9...00910a
Slug
highest-temperature-in-atlanta-on-november-11-2026-61forbelow