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No
balthazarCTR<$100NoNoYesNoYes
Istaroth<$100Yes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 28?
Resolved Yes. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$215.63
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares257
Combined PnL-$215.63
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 57%Yes — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432CTR | Noavg 83.8¢ | $215.63 | — | -$215.63 | 60% 1624-1083 (2707) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 73.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20735-13149 (33884) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Noavg 75.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1675-1660 (3335) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Yesavg 67.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6354-5570 (11924) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Noavg 76.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13182-10034 (23216) |
HE HellYeahTrader<$100 | Yesavg 19.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 287-239 (526) |
Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 32.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 25% 283-842 (1125) |
24
241532532432CTRInvested
$215.63
Value
—
PnL
-$215.63
Record
60%
1624-1083 (2707)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20735-13149 (33884)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1675-1660 (3335)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6354-5570 (11924)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13182-10034 (23216)
HE
HellYeahTrader<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
287-239 (526)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
25%
283-842 (1125)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8d61eabe...8842e2
Slug
highest-temperature-in-ankara-on-october-28-2026-19c