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Yes
balthazar<$100NoYesNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 28?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$6.13
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares194
Combined PnL-$6.13
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 40%No — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.2¢ | $6.13 | — | -$6.13 | 60% 1624-1083 (2707) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20735-13149 (33884) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1675-1660 (3335) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 98¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6354-5570 (11924) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 95.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13182-10034 (23216) |
24
241532532432CTR<$100Invested
$6.13
Value
—
PnL
-$6.13
Record
60%
1624-1083 (2707)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20735-13149 (33884)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1675-1660 (3335)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6354-5570 (11924)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13182-10034 (23216)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x02465682...ecfbf9
Slug
highest-temperature-in-ankara-on-october-28-2026-16c