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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on November 15?
Resolved No. 57.142857142857146% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
12
Yes 57.142857142857146%
Total Value
$8.71
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 12 top traders (57.142857142857146%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8cf3cd9a...fc4b40
Slug
highest-temperature-in-ankara-on-november-15-2026-13c