Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on November 12?
Resolved No. 11% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
No 14%
$400
-$36.94
Smart Money Signal
1 of 9 top traders (11%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1D 1DVSBSTD | Noavg 99.9¢ | $399.6 | $400 | +$0.4 | 99% 809-8 (817) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $4.1 | — | -$4.08 | 30% 3000-7146 (10146) |
KA kaxel78CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $1.85 | — | -$1.83 | 28% 534-1403 (1937) |
AL alex20011CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $2.12 | — | -$2.12 | 44% 1112-1435 (2547) |
KL klli27CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $2.32 | — | -$2.32 | 28% 530-1393 (1923) |
GO godblessme2026CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $4.68 | — | -$4.63 | 29% 145-351 (496) |
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $19.18 | — | -$19.18 | 57% 1048-776 (1824) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $1.82 | — | -$1.82 | 61% 2173-1396 (3569) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $1.37 | — | -$1.36 | 32% 560-1188 (1748) |
Invested
$399.6
Value
$400
PnL
+$0.4
Record
99%
809-8 (817)
Invested
$4.1
Value
—
PnL
-$4.08
Record
30%
3000-7146 (10146)
Invested
$1.85
Value
—
PnL
-$1.83
Record
28%
534-1403 (1937)
Invested
$2.12
Value
—
PnL
-$2.12
Record
44%
1112-1435 (2547)
Invested
$2.32
Value
—
PnL
-$2.32
Record
28%
530-1393 (1923)
Invested
$4.68
Value
—
PnL
-$4.63
Record
29%
145-351 (496)
Invested
$19.18
Value
—
PnL
-$19.18
Record
57%
1048-776 (1824)
Invested
$1.82
Value
—
PnL
-$1.82
Record
61%
2173-1396 (3569)
Invested
$1.37
Value
—
PnL
-$1.36
Record
32%
560-1188 (1748)