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NoNo
Lucerys<$100NoYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on November 11?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 60%
Total Value
$193.18
Combined PnL
-$45.85
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$193.18
Total Shares193
Combined PnL-$43.02
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares12
Combined PnL-$2.83
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Noavg 66.8¢ | $155.31 | $123.44 | -$31.87 | 34% 338-670 (1008) |
HE hello.67<$100 | Noavg 66¢ | $77.5 | $64.75 | -$12.75 | 68% 2092-980 (3072) |
Lucerys<$100 | Noavg 68¢ | $3.4 | $5 | +$1.6 | 38% 3334-5399 (8733) |
0X 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702CTR<$100 | Yesavg 22¢ | $1.39 | — | -$1.39 | 49% 419-432 (851) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 24¢ | $1.44 | — | -$1.44 | 55% 650-530 (1180) |
24
241532532432Invested
$155.31
Value
$123.44
PnL
-$31.87
Record
34%
338-670 (1008)
HE
hello.67<$100Invested
$77.5
Value
$64.75
PnL
-$12.75
Record
68%
2092-980 (3072)
Lucerys<$100Invested
$3.4
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.6
Record
38%
3334-5399 (8733)
0X
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702CTR<$100Invested
$1.39
Value
—
PnL
-$1.39
Record
49%
419-432 (851)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
$1.44
Value
—
PnL
-$1.44
Record
55%
650-530 (1180)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xefa7956b...5ca5b7
Slug
highest-temperature-in-ankara-on-november-11-2026-9c