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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 9?
Resolved No. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
21
Yes 52%
Total Value
$394.34
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
11 of 21 top traders (52%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xeae10769...b47442
Slug
highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-september-9-2026-17c