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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 18?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 80%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
6 of 7 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4608db62...e7592b
Slug
highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-september-18-2026-17c