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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 18?
Resolved Yes. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
17
No 71%
Total Value
$898.52
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
12 of 17 top traders (71%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdae8cd78...3e265c
Slug
highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-october-18-2026-11c