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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 17?
Resolved No. 21% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
19
Yes 21%
Total Value
$1.0K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 19 top traders (21%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x859a32d8...7ed8d2
Slug
highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-october-17-2026-15c