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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 16?
Resolved Yes. 92% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
13
No 92%
Total Value
$15.6
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
12 of 13 top traders (92%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe06b6404...4c40e0
Slug
highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-october-16-2026-19c