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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 11?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
20
No 80%
Total Value
$1.8K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
16 of 20 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x66ee158e...3af3fe
Slug
highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-october-11-2026-15c