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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 6°C on November 4?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
12
Yes 67%
Total Value
$15
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
8 of 12 top traders (67%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf064b8e3...bfe79c
Slug
highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-november-4-2026-6c