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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 6°C on November 14?
Resolved No. 71.42857142857143% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
13
Yes 71.42857142857143%
Total Value
$127.8
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
9 of 13 top traders (71.42857142857143%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xad850e35...de5b2b
Slug
highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-november-14-2026-6c