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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 4°C on November 14?
Resolved No. 88.88888888888889% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Yes 88.88888888888889%
Total Value
$50.43
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
10 of 11 top traders (88.88888888888889%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x71d525e3...573061
Slug
highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-november-14-2026-4c