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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 14?
Resolved No. 83.33333333333333% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
13
Yes 83.33333333333333%
Total Value
$142.76
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
11 of 13 top traders (83.33333333333333%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xac80394d...b6d743
Slug
highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-november-14-2026-11c