Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will CD Marquense win on 2026-10-29?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
Yes 75%
$4.58
$-3.2K
Smart Money Signal
4 of 10 top traders (40%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VI viper0310CTR | Yesavg 52¢ | $3.3K | — | $-3.2K | 46% 18-21 (39) |
BE BetzikoCTR<$100 | Yesavg 22.5¢ | $6.05 | — | -$6.05 | 54% 6181-5236 (11417) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Noavg 97¢ | $4.44 | $4.58 | +$0.14 | 86% 5052-846 (5898) |
 HRTradingCTR<$100 | Yesavg 57¢ | $2.29 | — | -$2.29 | 52% 3955-3596 (7551) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Noavg 48¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45365-31720 (77085) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Yesavg 49.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 18955-19375 (38330) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 51.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 24840-24547 (49387) |
 tradecraft<$100 | Noavg 86¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 5965-5659 (11624) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Noavg 42¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 12484-12844 (25328) |
 VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 48.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 41458-30076 (71534) |
Invested
$3,307.89
Value
—
PnL
$-3.2K
Record
46%
18-21 (39)
Invested
$6.05
Value
—
PnL
-$6.05
Record
54%
6181-5236 (11417)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$4.44
Value
$4.58
PnL
+$0.14
Record
86%
5052-846 (5898)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$2.29
Value
—
PnL
-$2.29
Record
52%
3955-3596 (7551)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45365-31720 (77085)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
18955-19375 (38330)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24840-24547 (49387)
tradecraft<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
5965-5659 (11624)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
12484-12844 (25328)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
41458-30076 (71534)
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