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Yes
poshposhCTR<$100No
HRTrading<$100YesYesNo
VeryLucky888CTR<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
AE Kifisia FC vs. Olympiacos Piraeus: Both Teams to Score
Resolved Yes. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$288.11
Combined PnL
-$110.24
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares150
Combined PnL-$110.25
Yes2 traders
Total Value$7.96
Total Shares8
Combined PnL+$0.01
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FO fooooolARB<$100 | Yesavg 37.4¢ | $193.59 | $280.15 | -$4.68 | 50% 10987-10819 (21806) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 37.4¢ | $104.7 | $280.15 | +$175.59 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 73.9¢ | $88.89 | — | -$180.27 | |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Noavg 60¢ | $90 | — | -$110.25 | 59% 10341-7332 (17673) |
HRTrading<$100 | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $7.95 | $7.96 | +$0.01 | 53% 5014-4502 (9516) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Yesavg 33¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 46230-32531 (78761) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Noavg 61¢ | — | — | +$0 | 48% 8249-8767 (17016) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Noavg 53¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 42202-30652 (72854) |
FO
fooooolARB<$100Invested
$193.59
Value
$280.15
PnL
-$4.68
Record
50%
10987-10819 (21806)
Both legs:
Yes$104.737.4¢+$175.59
No$88.8973.9¢-$180.27
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$90
Value
—
PnL
-$110.25
Record
59%
10341-7332 (17673)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$7.95
Value
$7.96
PnL
+$0.01
Record
53%
5014-4502 (9516)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
46230-32531 (78761)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
48%
8249-8767 (17016)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
42202-30652 (72854)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xaba0ae9f...a5e836
Slug
gre1-kif-oly-2026-10-31-btts