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NoYesNo
VeryLucky888CTR<$100NoNo
HRTradingCTR<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
FC Metz vs. Pau FC: Both Teams to Score
Resolved Yes. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
No 67%
Total Value
$5.55
Combined PnL
-$80.19
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares202
Combined PnL-$80.69
Yes1 trader
Total Value$5.55
Total Shares6
Combined PnL+$0.5
No — 83%Yes — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FO fooooolCTR<$100 | Noavg 28.3¢ | $55.11 | — | -$78.45 | 50% 10792-10607 (21399) |
RO Rocky31<$100 | Yesavg 91¢ | $5.55 | $5.55 | +$0.5 | 74% 1570-563 (2133) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Noavg 46¢ | $4.22 | — | -$4.22 | 38% 3268-5352 (8620) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Noavg 44¢ | $44 | — | +$1.99 | 58% 41580-30193 (71773) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Noavg 49¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45431-31798 (77229) |
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Noavg 45¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 4099-3733 (7832) |
FO
fooooolCTR<$100Invested
$55.11
Value
—
PnL
-$78.45
Record
50%
10792-10607 (21399)
RO
Rocky31<$100Invested
$5.55
Value
$5.55
PnL
+$0.5
Record
74%
1570-563 (2133)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$4.22
Value
—
PnL
-$4.22
Record
38%
3268-5352 (8620)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$44
Value
—
PnL
+$1.99
Record
58%
41580-30193 (71773)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45431-31798 (77229)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
4099-3733 (7832)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x877a2453...73da2a
Slug
fr2-met-pau-2026-10-30-btts