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YesYesNoYesYes
HRTrading<$100No
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Yes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Grenoble Foot 38 vs. Dijon Football Côte d'Or end in a draw?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$11.2
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares91
Combined PnL-$11.2
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 71%No — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BE BetzikoCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.1¢ | $4.11 | — | -$9.1 | 54% 6204-5263 (11467) |
BI BillBenter2026CTR<$100 | Yesavg 21¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 58% 18599-13660 (32259) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Noavg 71¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45431-31798 (77229) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Yesavg 11¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 24902-24623 (49525) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 12512-12895 (25407) |
HRTrading<$100 | Noavg 96.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 4099-3733 (7832) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Yesavg 29¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 41580-30193 (71773) |
BE
BetzikoCTR<$100Invested
$4.11
Value
—
PnL
-$9.1
Record
54%
6204-5263 (11467)
BI
BillBenter2026CTR<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
58%
18599-13660 (32259)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45431-31798 (77229)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
24902-24623 (49525)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
12512-12895 (25407)
HRTrading<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
4099-3733 (7832)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
41580-30193 (71773)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6337fd00...5103f8
Slug
fr2-gre-dij-2026-10-30-draw