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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 3.5

Resolved Over. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Under 56%

Total Value

$15.5K

Combined PnL

$1.7K

Smart Money Signal

Under

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Over100%
Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over5 traders
Total Value$15.5K
Total Shares15,493
Combined PnL+$9.2K
Under5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares14,119
Combined PnL$-7.4K
Over — 50%Under — 50%
DA
DaBossHogg
Over

Invested

$6,800.75

Value

$15.0K

PnL

+$8.2K

Record

51%

212-203 (415)

SN
SnakeBallCTR
Under

Invested

$5,970.27

Value

—

PnL

$-6.0K

Record

50%

33199-32726 (65925)

UP
UpTheBluesCTR
Under

Invested

$734.17

Value

—

PnL

-$734.17

Record

59%

45382-31736 (77118)

LU
LuckyLooCTR
Under

Invested

$671.49

Value

—

PnL

-$671.49

Record

49%

12488-12848 (25336)

TO
topdogbigboi
Over

Invested

$185.24

Value

$435.08

PnL

+$249.84

Record

38%

3213-5245 (8458)

0X
0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989CTR<$100
Under

Invested

$57.9

Value

—

PnL

-$57.9

Record

53%

5579-4941 (10520)

38
38791873984189<$100
Over

Invested

$27.73

Value

$30.45

PnL

+$2.72

Record

46%

8006-9466 (17472)

poshposh<$100
Over

Invested

$11.13

Value

$27.15

PnL

+$16.02

Record

59%

9948-6921 (16869)

HRTradingCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$11.69

Value

—

PnL

-$11.69

Record

52%

4016-3659 (7675)

0x8ae599cc1fdeb17c95e2af00bd75a38034bd4f22
Over

Invested

$1,280

Value

—

PnL

+$718

Record

65%

1221-658 (1879)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xf4e98b55...6b797c
Slug
fl1-hac-psg-2026-10-30-team-total-away-3pt5

Traders in this Market

DA

DaBossHogg

Over — $15.0K

+$8.2K
SN

SnakeBall

CTR

Under — $0

$-6.0K
UP

UpTheBlues

CTR

Under — $0

-$734.17
LU

LuckyLoo

CTR

Under — $0

-$671.49
TO

topdogbigboi

Over — $435.08

+$249.84
0X

0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989

CTR

Under — $0

-$57.9
38

38791873984189

Over — $30.45

+$2.72

poshposh

Over — $27.15

+$16.02

HRTrading

CTR

Under — $0

-$11.69

0x8ae599cc1fdeb17c95e2af00bd75a38034bd4f22

Over — $0

+$718
Trade on Polymarket