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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Resolved Over. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Under 50%

Total Value

$256.49

Combined PnL

-$178.18

Smart Money Signal

Under

7 of 13 top traders (54%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Over100%
Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over6 traders
Total Value$256.49
Total Shares256
Combined PnL+$451.61
Under7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares8,243
Combined PnL-$629.79
Over — 46%Under — 54%
poshposh
Over

Invested

$70.5

Value

$150

PnL

+$79.5

Record

59%

9948-6921 (16869)

TO
topdogbigboi
Over

Invested

$70.39

Value

$100

PnL

+$29.61

Record

38%

3213-5245 (8458)

RO
Rocky31<$100
Over

Invested

$6.49

Value

$6.49

PnL

+$5.06

Record

73%

1547-559 (2106)

AP
apprentice15CTR
Under

Invested

$542.4

Value

—

PnL

-$542.4

Record

42%

463-629 (1092)

LE
LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$69.42

Value

—

PnL

-$69.42

Record

58%

28428-20989 (49417)

0X
0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191CTR<$100
Under

Invested

$17.97

Value

—

PnL

-$17.97

Record

47%

4525-5012 (9537)

RN1CTR<$100
Under

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

56331-48482 (104813)

RA
rabbitfoot1<$100
Over

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

1128-987 (2115)

SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100
Under

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

33199-32726 (65925)

eskillo
Over

Invested

$517.25

Value

—

PnL

+$337.43

Record

42%

586-816 (1402)

PA
pauleta23<$100
Over

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

67%

23277-11683 (34960)

UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100
Under

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

59%

45382-31736 (77118)

SH
shiifooCTR<$100
Under

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

60%

3326-2230 (5556)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x34bc46d7...3732f6
Slug
fl1-hac-psg-2026-10-30-first-half-total-2pt5

Traders in this Market

poshposh

Over — $150

+$79.5
TO

topdogbigboi

Over — $100

+$29.61
RO

Rocky31

Over — $6.49

+$5.06
AP

apprentice15

CTR

Under — $0

-$542.4
LE

LeLynxMalynx

CTR

Under — $0

-$69.42
0X

0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191

CTR

Under — $0

-$17.97

RN1

CTR

Under — $0

+$0
RA

rabbitfoot1

Over — $0

+$0
SN

SnakeBall

CTR

Under — $0

+$0

eskillo

Over — $0

+$337.43
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