Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-10-29?

6 of 9 top Polymarket traders hold No (67%) · No at 57¢ · $8K held · ends Oct 29

Yes43¢No57¢Ends Thu, Oct 29, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Consensus Traders

No 67%

Total Value

$7.8K

Combined PnL

$3.44

Smart Money Entry

58¢ → 57.5¢

-1% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

NeutralNo at 57%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes43%

No57%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes3 traders

Total Value$3.4K

Total Shares8,001

Combined PnL+$41.01

No6 traders

Total Value$4.4K

Total Shares7,657

Combined PnL-$37.57

Yes — 33%No — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
OM omnibus-076daaCTR	Yesavg 42¢	$2.9K	$3.0K	+$34.72	49% 18813-19212 (38025)
0X 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542	Noavg 58¢	$2.3K	$2.3K	-$20	47% 2442-2739 (5181)
LU LuckyLoo	Noavg 58¢	$1.2K	$1.2K	-$10.14	49% 12392-12709 (25101)
GO GoalLineGhost	Noavg 58.1¢	$790.04	$781.6	-$8.44	50% 24686-24362 (49048)
EF 0xefde...6505CTR	Yesavg 41¢	$297.25	$308.13	+$10.88	38% 365-591 (956)
UP UpTheBlues	Noavg 57¢	$142.79	$144.04	+$1.25	59% 45090-31481 (76571)
SA Saber-greedCTR	Yesavg 43.9¢	$145.45	$140.87	-$4.59	59% 2542-1763 (4305)
VeryLucky888<$100	Noavg 57.8¢	$25.87	$7	-$0.35	58% 41203-29875 (71078)
tradecraft<$100	Noavg 56¢	$4.1	$4.21	+$0.11	51% 5921-5596 (11517)

omnibus-076daaCTR

Yes

Invested

$2,916.8

Value

$3.0K

PnL

+$34.72

Record

49%

18813-19212 (38025)

0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542

Invested

$2,320

Value

$2.3K

PnL

-$20

Record

47%

2442-2739 (5181)

LuckyLoo

Invested

$1,176.01

Value

$1.2K

PnL

-$10.14

Record

49%

12392-12709 (25101)

GoalLineGhost

Invested

$790.04

Value

$781.6

PnL

-$8.44

Record

50%

24686-24362 (49048)

0xefde...6505CTR

Yes

Invested

$297.25

Value

$308.13

PnL

+$10.88

Record

38%

365-591 (956)

UpTheBlues

Invested

$142.79

Value

$144.04

PnL

+$1.25

Record

59%

45090-31481 (76571)

Saber-greedCTR

Yes

Invested

$145.45

Value

$140.87

PnL

-$4.59

Record

59%

2542-1763 (4305)

VeryLucky888<$100

Invested

$25.87

Value

PnL

-$0.35

Record

58%

41203-29875 (71078)

tradecraft<$100

Invested

$4.1

Value

$4.21

PnL

+$0.11

Record

51%

5921-5596 (11517)

Research grade

NeutralNo at 57%

Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

Smart Money Signal

6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that No wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance59.7%

57.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$67.47

Max Loss

-$100.00

167.5

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.