BC Dubai vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv

12 of 13 top Polymarket traders hold BC Dubai (92%) · BC Dubai at 94¢ · $14K held · ended Oct 30

BC Dubai94¢Hapoel Tel Aviv6¢Ended Fri, Oct 30, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

BC Dubai

Consensus Traders

BC Dubai 92%

Total Value

$13.9K

Combined PnL

$1.2K

Smart Money Entry

61.6¢ → 94¢

+53% since entry · 12 traders

Research grade

AvoidBC Dubai at 94%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

BC Dubai

12 of 13 top traders (92%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

BC Dubai94%

Hapoel Tel Aviv6%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

BC Dubai12 traders

Total Value$13.8K

Total Shares18,397

Combined PnL+$1.2K

Hapoel Tel Aviv1 trader

Total Value$40.91

Total Shares54

Combined PnL-$1.11

BC Dubai — 92%Hapoel Tel Aviv — 8%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
VeryLucky888	BC Dubaiavg 54.9¢	$4.9K	$4.2K	+$272.08	58% 41497-30120 (71617)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh	BC Dubaiavg 73.3¢	$3.1K	$3.8K	+$723.47	48% 762-822 (1584)
HO HomeRunHazard	BC Dubaiavg 55.4¢	$3.3K	$3.4K	+$129.3	54% 17115-14333 (31448)
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080	BC Dubaiavg 69¢	$979.8	$958.5	-$21.3	51% 1399-1345 (2744)
poshposh	BC Dubaiavg 75¢	$411.83	$480.56	+$68.74	59% 9929-6898 (16827)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846	BC Dubaiavg 72.1¢	$375	$395.2	+$20.2	59% 30372-21077 (51449)
UP UpTheBlues	BC Dubaiavg 55.9¢	$249.3	$265.27	+$15.97	59% 45379-31733 (77112)
MI mishipolis	BC Dubaiavg 78.8¢	$264.87	$118.89	+$34.02	50% 4506-4442 (8948)
PA pauleta23<$100	BC Dubaiavg 78¢	$80	$83.27	+$3.27	67% 23269-11675 (34944)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100	BC Dubaiavg 66.2¢	$80.26	$81.25	+$0.99	86% 5086-860 (5946)
HRTrading<$100	BC Dubaiavg 77.9¢	$71.58	$67.39	-$4.19	52% 3999-3641 (7640)
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100	Hapoel Tel Avivavg 43.4¢	$42.02	$40.91	-$1.11	54% 2975-2554 (5529)
TO torta.tech<$100	BC Dubaiavg 67¢	$5.36	$5.28	-$0.08	63% 8104-4848 (12952)

VeryLucky888

BC Dubai

Invested

$4,879.51

Value

$4.2K

PnL

+$272.08

Record

58%

41497-30120 (71617)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

BC Dubai

Invested

$3,076.49

Value

$3.8K

PnL

+$723.47

Record

48%

762-822 (1584)

HomeRunHazard

BC Dubai

Invested

$3,270.88

Value

$3.4K

PnL

+$129.3

Record

54%

17115-14333 (31448)

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080

BC Dubai

Invested

$979.8

Value

$958.5

PnL

-$21.3

Record

51%

1399-1345 (2744)

poshposh

BC Dubai

Invested

$411.83

Value

$480.56

PnL

+$68.74

Record

59%

9929-6898 (16827)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

BC Dubai

Invested

$375

Value

$395.2

PnL

+$20.2

Record

59%

30372-21077 (51449)

UpTheBlues

BC Dubai

Invested

$249.3

Value

$265.27

PnL

+$15.97

Record

59%

45379-31733 (77112)

mishipolis

BC Dubai

Invested

$264.87

Value

$118.89

PnL

+$34.02

Record

50%

4506-4442 (8948)

pauleta23<$100

BC Dubai

Invested

$80

Value

$83.27

PnL

+$3.27

Record

67%

23269-11675 (34944)

ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100

BC Dubai

Invested

$80.26

Value

$81.25

PnL

+$0.99

Record

86%

5086-860 (5946)

HRTrading<$100

BC Dubai

Invested

$71.58

Value

$67.39

PnL

-$4.19

Record

52%

3999-3641 (7640)

0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Invested

$42.02

Value

$40.91

PnL

-$1.11

Record

54%

2975-2554 (5529)

torta.tech<$100

BC Dubai

Invested

$5.36

Value

$5.28

PnL

-$0.08

Record

63%

8104-4848 (12952)

Research grade

AvoidBC Dubai at 94%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

BC Dubai

12 of 13 top traders (92%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that BC Dubai wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance95.2%

94.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$5.00

Max Loss

-$100.00

105.0

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.