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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down on October 12?
Resolved Up. 27% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Down 27%
Total Value
$14.9K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 11 top traders (27%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2e44bb0b...a20771
Slug
ethereum-up-or-down-on-october-12-2026