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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6PM ET
Resolved Down. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 40%
Total Value
$640.35
Combined PnL
-$480.23
Smart Money Signal
Down
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$640.35
Total Shares640
Combined PnL+$64.83
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares545
Combined PnL-$545.06
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 61.5¢ | $522.09 | $486.02 | -$36.07 | 67% 99860-48251 (148111) |
PE peepeepoopoo24CTR | Upavg 58.4¢ | $470.1 | — | -$470.1 | 57% 6763-5000 (11763) |
TM tmsd-test | Downavg 34.6¢ | $53.44 | $154.33 | +$100.9 | 54% 14530-12375 (26905) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 36.1¢ | $54.77 | — | -$54.77 | 52% 8114-7618 (15732) |
AN Anon455CTR<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $20.2 | — | -$20.2 | 55% 2951-2377 (5328) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609Invested
$522.09
Value
$486.02
PnL
-$36.07
Record
67%
99860-48251 (148111)
PE
peepeepoopoo24CTRInvested
$470.1
Value
—
PnL
-$470.1
Record
57%
6763-5000 (11763)
TM
tmsd-testInvested
$53.44
Value
$154.33
PnL
+$100.9
Record
54%
14530-12375 (26905)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$54.77
Value
—
PnL
-$54.77
Record
52%
8114-7618 (15732)
AN
Anon455CTR<$100Invested
$20.2
Value
—
PnL
-$20.2
Record
55%
2951-2377 (5328)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x801130bf...077e3a
Slug
ethereum-up-or-down-october-31-2026-6pm-et