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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5PM ET
Resolved Up. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Up 67%
Total Value
$351.09
Combined PnL
$65.13
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$351.09
Total Shares351
Combined PnL+$88.59
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares46
Combined PnL-$23.46
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN Anon455 | Upavg 63.3¢ | $130.02 | $205.43 | +$75.41 | 55% 2972-2408 (5380) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Upavg 63.8¢ | $132.48 | $145.65 | +$13.18 | 57% 6763-5002 (11765) |
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $23.46 | — | -$23.46 | 54% 14535-12378 (26913) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | — | — | +$0 | 67% 99862-48253 (148115) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 34.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 8141-7644 (15785) |
AN
Anon455Invested
$130.02
Value
$205.43
PnL
+$75.41
Record
55%
2972-2408 (5380)
PE
peepeepoopoo24Invested
$132.48
Value
$145.65
PnL
+$13.18
Record
57%
6763-5002 (11765)
TM
tmsd-testCTR<$100Invested
$23.46
Value
—
PnL
-$23.46
Record
54%
14535-12378 (26913)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
67%
99862-48253 (148115)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
8141-7644 (15785)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2aa6bde7...404776
Slug
ethereum-up-or-down-october-31-2026-5pm-et