Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4PM ET
Resolved Down. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
5
Down 100%
3 arb excluded
$1.7K
$166.61
Smart Money Signal
5 of 5 top traders (100%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TM tmsd-testARB<$100 | Upavg 46.9¢ | $1.4K | $432.39 | -$419.95 | 54% 14530-12375 (26905) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 46.9¢ | $385.56 | — | -$561.57 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 67.7¢ | $292.52 | $432.39 | +$141.62 | |
PE peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100 | Downavg 63.8¢ | $485.81 | $471.16 | -$14.65 | 57% 6763-5000 (11763) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 63.8¢ | $300.61 | $471.16 | +$170.55 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 37.7¢ | $185.2 | — | -$185.2 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $366.65 | $410.29 | +$43.64 | 67% 99860-48251 (148111) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 58¢ | $237.92 | $410.29 | +$172.37 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 41.9¢ | $128.73 | — | -$128.73 | |
AN Anon455 | Downavg 61.7¢ | $84.51 | $137.02 | +$52.5 | 55% 2951-2377 (5328) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $53 | $90.11 | +$37.11 | 52% 8114-7618 (15732) |
BO bosona | Downavg 59¢ | $59 | $100 | +$41 | 55% 49955-40173 (90128) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $32 | $50 | +$18 | 55% 50712-41326 (92038) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $32 | $50 | +$18 | 55% 48693-40261 (88954) |
Invested
$1,385.84
Value
$432.39
PnL
-$419.95
Record
54%
14530-12375 (26905)
Both legs:
Invested
$485.81
Value
$471.16
PnL
-$14.65
Record
57%
6763-5000 (11763)
Both legs:
Invested
$366.65
Value
$410.29
PnL
+$43.64
Record
67%
99860-48251 (148111)
Both legs:
Invested
$84.51
Value
$137.02
PnL
+$52.5
Record
55%
2951-2377 (5328)
Invested
$53
Value
$90.11
PnL
+$37.11
Record
52%
8114-7618 (15732)
Invested
$59
Value
$100
PnL
+$41
Record
55%
49955-40173 (90128)
Invested
$32
Value
$50
PnL
+$18
Record
55%
50712-41326 (92038)
Invested
$32
Value
$50
PnL
+$18
Record
55%
48693-40261 (88954)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
tmsd-test
ARBArbitrage — excluded
peepeepoopoo24
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Anon455
Down — $137.02
ply-pm2
Down — $90.11
bosona
Down — $100
mo-money
Down — $50
almach
Down — $50