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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$200.28
Combined PnL
-$14.4
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$200.28
Total Shares200
Combined PnL+$18.63
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares68
Combined PnL-$33.03
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 66¢ | $147.5 | $143.19 | -$4.32 | 67% 99858-48247 (148105) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 47.7¢ | $22.3 | $42.09 | +$19.8 | 52% 8084-7595 (15679) |
PE peepeepoopoo24CTR<$100 | Upavg 38.2¢ | $30.63 | — | -$30.63 | 57% 6759-4998 (11757) |
AN Anon455<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $11.85 | $15 | +$3.15 | 55% 2937-2368 (5305) |
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 54% 14526-12369 (26895) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609Invested
$147.5
Value
$143.19
PnL
-$4.32
Record
67%
99858-48247 (148105)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$22.3
Value
$42.09
PnL
+$19.8
Record
52%
8084-7595 (15679)
PE
peepeepoopoo24CTR<$100Invested
$30.63
Value
—
PnL
-$30.63
Record
57%
6759-4998 (11757)
AN
Anon455<$100Invested
$11.85
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.15
Record
55%
2937-2368 (5305)
TM
tmsd-testCTR<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
54%
14526-12369 (26895)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa267faad...6c113f
Slug
ethereum-up-or-down-october-31-2026-3pm-et