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UpDownDownDownDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$1.5K
Combined PnL
-$592.97
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,525
Combined PnL-$919.03
Down4 traders
Total Value$1.5K
Total Shares1,495
Combined PnL+$326.06
Up — 20%Down — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TM tmsd-testCTR | Upavg 59.7¢ | $919.03 | — | -$919.03 | 54% 14479-12311 (26790) |
SH Sharky6999 | Downavg 98.6¢ | $836.47 | $848 | +$11.53 | 98% 6865-164 (7029) |
AN Anon455 | Downavg 42.2¢ | $171.39 | $399.18 | +$227.78 | 56% 2860-2289 (5149) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 58.9¢ | $119.65 | $156.99 | +$37.34 | 57% 6732-4979 (11711) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 43.2¢ | $41.35 | $90.75 | +$49.4 | 51% 7702-7260 (14962) |
TM
tmsd-testCTRInvested
$919.03
Value
—
PnL
-$919.03
Record
54%
14479-12311 (26790)
SH
Sharky6999Invested
$836.47
Value
$848
PnL
+$11.53
Record
98%
6865-164 (7029)
AN
Anon455Invested
$171.39
Value
$399.18
PnL
+$227.78
Record
56%
2860-2289 (5149)
PE
peepeepoopoo24Invested
$119.65
Value
$156.99
PnL
+$37.34
Record
57%
6732-4979 (11711)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$41.35
Value
$90.75
PnL
+$49.4
Record
51%
7702-7260 (14962)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe95bc141...91aad0
Slug
ethereum-up-or-down-october-30-2026-4pm-et