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Polkadot-FrogCTRUpUpDownUpDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
Total Value
$61
Combined PnL
-$324.41
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares463
Combined PnL-$360.24
Down2 traders
Total Value$61
Total Shares61
Combined PnL+$35.84
Up — 67%Down — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polkadot-FrogCTR | Upavg 62.5¢ | $228.64 | — | -$228.64 | 64% 58208-32895 (91103) |
PE peepeepoopoo24CTR<$100 | Upavg 39.7¢ | $99.66 | — | -$99.66 | 57% 6680-4948 (11628) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 31.3¢ | $19.6 | $51 | +$31.4 | 51% 7452-7030 (14482) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 47.5¢ | $29.49 | — | -$29.49 | 58% 37800-27033 (64833) |
FI fiankee<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $5.56 | $10 | +$4.44 | 56% 1005-804 (1809) |
0D 0x0d2d...7ff5CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $2.45 | — | -$2.45 | 46% 7787-9202 (16989) |
Polkadot-FrogCTRInvested
$228.64
Value
—
PnL
-$228.64
Record
64%
58208-32895 (91103)
PE
peepeepoopoo24CTR<$100Invested
$99.66
Value
—
PnL
-$99.66
Record
57%
6680-4948 (11628)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$19.6
Value
$51
PnL
+$31.4
Record
51%
7452-7030 (14482)
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100Invested
$29.49
Value
—
PnL
-$29.49
Record
58%
37800-27033 (64833)
FI
fiankee<$100Invested
$5.56
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.44
Record
56%
1005-804 (1809)
0D
0x0d2d...7ff5CTR<$100Invested
$2.45
Value
—
PnL
-$2.45
Record
46%
7787-9202 (16989)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4b28e5c1...aaac85
Slug
ethereum-up-or-down-october-30-2026-1am-et