Back to Markets
UpUpDownDownDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET
Resolved Up. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Up 25%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$2.3K
Combined PnL
-$493.84
Smart Money Signal
Up
1 of 4 top traders (25%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$2.2K
Total Shares2,172
Combined PnL-$373.28
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares269
Combined PnL-$120.55
Up — 25%Down — 75%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 69.9¢ | $2.5K | $2.2K | -$373.28 | 67% 99557-47950 (147507) |
PE peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100 | Upavg 75.5¢ | $113.92 | $106.89 | -$7.03 | 57% 6711-4969 (11680) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 75.5¢ | $80.74 | $106.89 | +$26.15 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 36.8¢ | $33.18 | — | -$33.18 | |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 46.8¢ | $84.28 | — | -$84.28 | 58% 37856-27105 (64961) |
AN Anon455CTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $15.27 | — | -$15.27 | 56% 2854-2282 (5136) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 48.1¢ | $21 | — | -$21 | 51% 7617-7193 (14810) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609Invested
$2,545.58
Value
$2.2K
PnL
-$373.28
Record
67%
99557-47950 (147507)
PE
peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100Invested
$113.92
Value
$106.89
PnL
-$7.03
Record
57%
6711-4969 (11680)
Both legs:
Up$80.7475.5¢+$26.15
Down$33.1836.8¢-$33.18
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100Invested
$84.28
Value
—
PnL
-$84.28
Record
58%
37856-27105 (64961)
AN
Anon455CTR<$100Invested
$15.27
Value
—
PnL
-$15.27
Record
56%
2854-2282 (5136)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$21
Value
—
PnL
-$21
Record
51%
7617-7193 (14810)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xdd8a9a7d...9089b9
Slug
ethereum-up-or-down-october-30-2026-10am-et