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UpUpDownUpUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4AM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Up 75%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$695.33
Combined PnL
$93.24
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$548.75
Total Shares549
Combined PnL+$129.29
Down1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares121
Combined PnL-$36.05
Up — 75%Down — 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TM tmsd-test | Upavg 70.3¢ | $340.83 | $476.75 | +$135.92 | 54% 14422-12251 (26673) |
PE peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100 | Upavg 83.8¢ | $163.1 | $146.58 | -$16.52 | 57% 6617-4895 (11512) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 83.8¢ | $122.83 | $146.58 | +$23.75 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 22.4¢ | $40.27 | — | -$40.27 | |
AN Anon455CTR<$100 | Downavg 23.3¢ | $36.05 | — | -$36.05 | 56% 2776-2194 (4970) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 95.8¢ | $57.19 | $40 | -$17.19 | 51% 7133-6748 (13881) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $21.44 | $32 | +$10.56 | 68% 99024-47353 (146377) |
TM
tmsd-testInvested
$340.83
Value
$476.75
PnL
+$135.92
Record
54%
14422-12251 (26673)
PE
peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100Invested
$163.1
Value
$146.58
PnL
-$16.52
Record
57%
6617-4895 (11512)
Both legs:
Up$122.8383.8¢+$23.75
Down$40.2722.4¢-$40.27
AN
Anon455CTR<$100Invested
$36.05
Value
—
PnL
-$36.05
Record
56%
2776-2194 (4970)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$57.19
Value
$40
PnL
-$17.19
Record
51%
7133-6748 (13881)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$21.44
Value
$32
PnL
+$10.56
Record
68%
99024-47353 (146377)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7a8fc6a4...05d046
Slug
ethereum-up-or-down-october-29-2026-4am-et